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What Is the John Wayne System?
John Wayne’s system is quite easy to follow. Essentially, you will be betting on the inside bets, and trying to get the better end of the exchange. You want to first pick any two numbers in the middle column, that is 5 and 32, and place a chip on these numbers first. Then, you want to place a bet on the corners of both these numbers, which will give you a total of 10 bets.
You have placed 10 chips (or at least covered 10 selections) and now have 18 outcomes that can help you win. Basically, if you hit 1, 3, 7, 9, 28, 30 34, or 36, you will lose one chip. If you hit 2, 4, ,6, 8, 29, 31, 33, 35, you win eight chips.
If you hit one of the straight-up numbers, you get paid 62 chips. You lose ten chips if none of the outcomes are positive. Let’s see how it works in practice.
Testing John Wayne in Practice
The John Wayne strategy sounds exciting, and we decided to give it our best shot. To this end, we have given four players a bankroll of 1,000 units and let them play online roulette for 400 rounds. The results are quite interesting. The graph below is what happened next.
As you can see, one of the things that immediately stands out about the John Wayne strategy is that all four players ended up in steep declines, going bankrupt prior to the 400th round. However, Player 3 and Player 4 managed to build up a solid profit before the 50th round. From that point on, though, they joined Player 1 and Player 2 who had been in steep decline almost immediately after they started. The strategy just offered no relief for the constant losses that compounded and made it impossible at one point to sustain the strategy – having cost all players their 1,000-unit bankroll.
What’s the Issue with John Wayne Strategy?
The first thing that stands out is that this system does not seem to be very sustainable. Within ten or 15 spins you will already know whether you want to pursue it and take things any further than that. Players will mostly run into the same dilemma – do they quit now, or do they try their luck over an extended period.
The evidence we seemed to have gathered plainly suggests that the strategy will cost you more the longer you stick with it and play. A permanent bankruptcy is very likely, and almost certainly to be expected. There is a 50% chance of ending up with a small win at first or ending up on a downward spiral right away. The strategy though is not too crazy on the face of it – the strategy caries a fairly small risk while also offering a good possible return in theory, but the fact is that you will hit the numbers that pay the most units fairly rarely, which is what compounds the losses.
The other thing is that you just bank on these two numbers and there is no way for you to recover any of your losses. You just must keep going and hope that you are going to win and make up for some loss incurred in the previous round. With no mitigating mechanisms, the strategy could quickly become a trap for your bankroll.
Conclusion
Basically, this is a very short-term strategy – you can either make a profit with it or quit early. You will want to play no more than 20-50 spins, but our tests show that 20 is probably the ideal number of rounds to try. Then, you should probably also place small wagers and look for early indicators that your bankroll is heading downwards. Our test demonstrated that once you start losing money, the strategy offers very little leeway to actually make up for that.
