Articles

This installment of the FTxIGM US Macroeconomists Survey discusses the likelihood of the Fed raising and sustaining a higher interest rate. It also examines the the possibility of a recession to occur earlier than expected. The summary results are below and you can read the Financial Times article here, subscription required. View the results of […] 

This installment of the FTxIGM US Macroeconomists Survey examines the the possibility of a recession in 2023 and potential Fed actions between now and then. The summary results are below and you can read the Financial Times article here, subscription required. View the results of this survey >> For social media: Please use the hashtag […] 

This installment of the FTxIGM US Macroeconomists Survey examines the anticipated policies the Fed could pursue in the relative short-term, the pace at which they might be enacted, and the potential ramifications of those policies. The summary results are below and you can read the Financial Times article here, subscription required. View the results of […] 

This month’s FTxIGM US Macroeconomists Survey discusses the Fed’s likelihood to “stop bond purchases by the end of March [2022].” The article goes on to look at the economists’ current expectations regarding inflation and employment. The summary results are below and you can read the Financial Times article here, subscription required. View the results of […] 

This month’s FTxIGM US Macroeconomists Survey looks at a 2022 interest rate hike. It also examines a timeline for when the FOMC might begin tapering of its purchases of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities. The summary results are below and you can read the Financial Times article here, subscription required. For social media: Please use the […] 

On June 29, the Task Force on Financial Stability, organized by the Hutchins Center at Brookings and the Initiative on Global Markets at the Chicago Booth School of Business, released a report that focuses on the U.S. Treasury market, open-end mutual funds, housing finance, derivatives clearinghouses, and life insurance companies. The report also provides recommendations […] 

The Initiative on Global Markets in collaboration with the Financial Times has launched a new survey of US academic macroeconomists. Professors Allan Timmermann (UC San Diego) and Jonathan Wright (Johns Hopkins) will coordinate with FT writer Colby Smith to develop questions that will provide insight to pressing macroeconomic issues and topics. The summary results of […] 

The COVID-19 pandemic triggered one of the largest public health and economic crises the U.S. has witnessed in modern history. A team of researchers at the Poverty Lab and the Rustandy Center for Social Sector Innovation at the University of Chicago in partnership with NORC at the University of Chicago, an independent and non-partisan research […] 

A team of researchers at the Poverty Lab and the Rustandy Center for Social Sector Innovation at the University of Chicago in partnership with NORC at the University of Chicago, an independent, non-partisan research institution, have been administering a longitudinal survey on a representative sample of the U.S. population since April 2020. Currently in its […] 

This is Round 10 of the FiveThirtyEight/IGM COVID-19 Economic Outlook survey. This survey series is overseen by Professors Allan Timmermann and Jonathan Wright. The list of experts answering the questions is identified in the post along with the responses. Individual responses are anonymous. A simple summary of responses of Round 10 appears here on the […]